Kathmandu: Nepal’s India elevated Prime Minister has officially “appealed” China, October 10, 2009, to extend the Beijing-Lhasa Railway link to Kathmandu and be kind enough to establish several “economic zones” inside Nepal that adjoins the Tibetan border.

Nepal Prime Minister could be a pro-India man on the surface for Indian consumption, however, his inner hearts yet remain loyal apparently to the RED in the North. After well RED is RED.

The immeasurable pain that this news may have provided to the Indian establishment became evident when one Indian Television Channel, October 12, 2009, alerted its government not to take this Nepal political overture in a light manner.

Analysts assume that the Indian establishment must have taken humorless note of this fresh Nepal’s socialization with China and may in the days ahead cause some troubles to Madhav Nepal led government.

The Indian regime is well aware of the fact that it is losing its firm grounds in Nepal because of the sudden impregnable Chinese infiltration in Kathmandu’s politics and has thus begun inviting Indo-pendent Nepali leaders for a New Delhi pilgrimage in series for understandable reasons.

Those who have been invited so far by New Delhi regime were the declared haters of the RED in the North, for example, Surya Bahadur Thapa, Pasupati Rana, Sher Bahadur Deuba, J.P.Gupta and Upendra Yadav and many more could be in the pipeline.

Of these, some are in New Delhi and some have returned Kathmandu saturated with Indian instructions.

Among the crowd of the many, the just concluded visit of Surya Bahadur Thapa to New Delhi and the beginning of Delhi trip of Sher Bahadur Deuba assume significance in that these two political stalwarts not only count in Nepali politics but can serve well as per the commands of New Delhi who later could swing the Nepali politics as per the instructions of the South.

Thapa, a maverick Nepali politician, upon his return from New Delhi has aired that New Delhi regime wants peace and stability in Nepal and that Delhi would not take any steps to destabilize the incumbent government led by Madhav Kumar Nepal.

Thapa has spoken a white lie. Neither New Delhi neither wants permanent peace in Nepal nor would like to see any government here to continue for long that openly extends invitation to China-its arch rival in many more ways than one, to come to Nepal.

Should this mean that Madhav Nepal’s days are numbered? Perhaps yes!

India experts in Nepal opine that India can digest any thing but not an invitation to China being made by Nepal authorites. Madhav Nepal did this “crime” and thus New Delhi is forced to look to a suitable alternative to Mr. Nepal’s government in Nepal. India in all likelihood soon teach a befitting lesson to this RED Nepal PM hopefully!

Definitely, Thapa, New Delhi’s trusted and tested ally and a Nepali who is considered to be more Indian than the Indian nationals, will do the needful in toppling Mr. Nepal Government. Thapa’s conspiratorial brain presumably may have begun working.

But China remains undeterred. Analysts opine that China has already entered Nepal and will remain here for long time to come.

Interestingly and to the much chagrin of the Indian regime, China has begun taking special interests in the Nepalese peace process and also on matters of militia integration. A grand departure from the past.

To boot, Prachanda, the former India nurtured man, prior to his departure to Beijing for a weeklong trip said beamingly that “my trip to China will help support in finding suitable solution to the current political deadlock in Nepal”.

This does mean that China not only wants space in Nepal but would also like to be a willing and dominant partner in goading the Nepali politics which until yesterday remained the sole preserve of the Indian regime in the South and some countries beyond South Asia.

New Delhi can’t bear this humiliation of the Himalayan order and may retaliate with full force and also may undo every thing that came in its way in pushing China to its original position-back to Beijing.

But how the South will control the increasing penetration of the North? Is now the million dollar question indeed.

To recall, New Delhi has several cards under its sleeves. New Delhi is much similar to a Hydra whose tentacles have been spread all over Nepal. Comparatively speaking, China is a new entrant in Nepali politics and she has the compulsion to rely upon the mainstream Nepali media who in effect work for the Indian establishment.

Double cross.

To be straightforward, the Chinese are being cheated by those who claim to be their real and intimate friends. It is this set of friends, politicians and media alike, who pass on the information of the impending Chinese moves to the other camp. The Chinese thus are taken for a ride by their own declared friends. Poor China!

But yet China is making grand inroads in Nepali politics. Fore the time being, the Chinese appear to be in a mood to face India in Nepal through the “extensive and intensive” use of the Maoists more so of the presumed hardliners in the party of the ex-rebels.

The Chinese are forced to rely on the Maoists until they get a “permanent and reliable” partner in Nepal.

The search thus is in progress.

The inclusion of Mohan Vaidya Kiran, a declared hardliner in the Maoist camp, in Prachanda’s delegation to China does hint that henceforth China will encourage the hardliners of the Maoist party to come forward and support them in the days ahead in order to establish itself in Kathmandu.

Thus it is not very surprising as to why Dr. Babu Ram Bhattarai is not in the delegation to China?

The Chinese have presumably concluded that since Dr. Bhattarai has a visible leaning towards India and thus may have advised Prachanda not to include Bhattarai’s name in the China delegation list.

In a way, the Chinese authorites by not inviting Dr. Bhattarai to China have brought about a clear division in the Maoist party: the one is thus closer to China and the other closer to India-the country wherein the Maoist party’s central leadership remained for all along eight plus years and waged a struggle against the State.

But do the Chinese rely on Prachanda who speaks double more often than not? High placed sources claim that Prachanda is under Chinese scanner at the moment.

This partition in the party bodes ill for the Maoists whose reverberations will soon come to public.

That there is a clear division in the party of the ex-rebels becomes evident when Prachanda claims that the current political dispute will be sorted out amicably immediately after approaching Tihar festivals then Dr. Bhattarai opines that the third Uprising will commence soon after the festivals.

This diametrically opposing views coming as it does from the same camp speak of the grand “fissure” that exists in the Maoists party at present.

To boot, the military strategist of the Maoists party, Ram Bahadur Thapa Badal, was heard saying the Chinese Ambassador, October 3, 2009 at a Nepali Congress Tea party, “I want to visit China”.

While Badal was making such a request to the Chinese envoy, our sleuths present there at the tea party heard Badal’s fervent request being made to Chinese envoy. This should mean that upon Prachanda’s return from Beijing, Badal will head towards China. To recall, Badal has by this time made several trips to China more so to Lhasa together with Krishna Bahadur Mahara in the recent past.

In all, both China and India have become twitchy. Both want their political space in Nepal secured for all time to come. If India is restive because of the sudden Chinese increased penetration in Nepali politics which has limited its previous free space then China is impatient on how to have an authoritative say in Nepali politics in the days ahead.

While, the fact is that, India has several salaried friends in Nepal, China, is in search of a reliable partner in Nepal upon whom she can repose trust and count.

Analysts maintain that it is this undeclared and invisible tussle in between the two South Asian giants that has been encouraging both the arch-rivals to find a suitable and trustworthy partner in Nepal who can balance the current imbalances seen in Nepali Politics. A true balancer is the prime need of both the countries to avoid any possible confrontation in between the two giants.

Both China and India understand that Nepal’s strategic location makes this country very important and significant and thus both would want their respective political space to remain secured and ensured. But how is the question which is boggling the authorites of Beijing and Delhi both?

How the two giants adjust their spaces in Nepal in the days ahead or will get a balancer in the mean time will have to be carefully watched. Nevertheless, Nepal PM’s open appeal to China for railway links to Kathmandu is sure to invite plight for Madhav Kumar Nepal.  How the Indian government retaliates to this “ Nepali appeal” and how the Chinese take this appeal will also determine the fate and the longevity of this government.

If India is pretty annoyed by Nepal PM’s appeal to China then let’s presume that Mr. Nepal’s government will crumble much ahead of his talked about visit to China next month. Let’s wait for the “mood” of the South.

Nevertheless, what is clear is that the Northerly breeze is pushing or is all set to push the Southerly breeze to its original position and vice versa.

Definitely, the North and South are face to face in Nepal at the moment though in a subtle manner. The issue is of prestige as to who should prevail over whom in Nepal’s political spectrum?

Comments (1)

dear nepalese people note that and know it that if u give chance or vote to sher bahadur or surya bahadur or anyone who unofficially and in personal move visit india.they are indian indian dalal who will not secure nepalese intrest and sovereignty. similarly dont trust who visit agai and again china to get blessing of china to get power and to be in govt.all the leaders who visit india or china though they are not in government are dalal of those country.so make note of them and cast your vote in next election. nepal need to promote chinese role and support in nepal to neutralise and make ballance with indian influence.but that should be done through authentic policy and process by government.nepalese intrest will be secure if we can make ballance between these two country.for this we need government of strong backing from nepalese people and nepalese leaders and parties.hence all the political parties must draw a common foreign policy for nepal and that policy should not be derailed by any party or leaders for achieving political power. sabai lai chetana bhaya.

Commented by kiran shiwakoti - October 17, 2009 @ 11:33 AM

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