CA POLLS UNLIKELY ON TIME IF CURRENT POLITICAL FLUIDITY REMAIN INTACT

TGW

Kathmandu: Home Minister Krishna Prasad Sitaula is yet to resign.

His resignation has been set as a precondition for talks by the Terai leaders. The ten-day deadline provided by the Terai leaders for talks with the government is about to come to an end. The government remains so far tightlipped as to what it is going to do with the fate of Sitaula.

Sitaula is in no mood to sacrifice.

The Election Commission has become restive. The Commission is demanding certain laws and regulations passed by the interim legislature so that they can proceed with electoral procedures in order to meet the CA polls scheduled deadline-the month of Jestha- three months exactly from today.

The ministers authorized for tabling these bills in the parliament have been suffering Viral Hepatitis-B.

To the extent that even the Prime Minister is supposed to have been attacked by this disease. Some say that about eight or so ministers have been suffering this disease.

Add to this the arms verification process presumably will take some more time.

To address the Terai grievances as per the assurances of the Prime Minister, certain amendments in the new constitution must be affected. The prime minister is also Hepatitis-E infected.

Like the Teraians, other indigenous groups and tribes too have become restive and have come to the streets demanding what they call as their rightful due from the State.

Thus the State under Koirala is beset with Himalayan problems and issues that demand urgent redressal or else who knows the marginalized tribes and the communities too repeat the show of violence and terror much the same way as the Teraians did in the recent days and weeks.

The Maoists appear too to have become impatient. Their grudge is understandable because they want their share in the interim government in order to make changes in the power structure that would bring about a sort of earthquake in the country.

The domestic as well the international pressure is there on Koirala suggesting him not to elevate the ranks of the Maoists until all of their arms are well managed by the UN team.

Add to this, Ambassador Mukherjee and Ambassador Moriarty has been in constant touch with the ailing Koirala and suggesting him not to act in haste simply to please the Maoists high command.

What the two envoys belonging to the Nepal “axis� could have whispered in the ears of Koirala is any body’s guess.

How Moriarty views the Maoists as of today becomes abundantly clear from what he said to an online edition of Kantipur. Look what he says; (sic) “The US has not lifted the terrorist tag from the Maoists because they are still acting like terrorists. Until the Maoists stop using violence and intimidation, they will remain on the list. Once their behavior changes and that change is sustained, we will be happy to review that status. We encourage the Maoists to meet their peace process commitments and begin acting like a mainstream political party. We urge them, for the good of Nepal’s democracy and people, to give up violence once and for all�.

This amply reflects how the US views the Maoists as of today.

Ambassador Mukherjee in a day or two would rush to see Koirala in order to convey the hair-raising news that suggests that one Mr. Pasang Lama, supposedly a Nepali-Maoist cadre was arrested in Binner village, near to Baramulla, when he was allegedly negotiating an arms deal with Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT) men�.

Moreover, if one were to add what Moriarty said some two weeks back that the rebels have been dumping their sub-standard weapons brought from Indian State of Bihar to the UN monitoring team in Nepal and sending their brand weapons to their comrade in arms in neighboring Bihar to this recent revelation that the Maoists were still buying new weapons make a full story whose conclusion could be derived like this: “Competitive politics yes! Change in political credentials yes! But as for weapons, we will buy come what may. Our strength lay in the guns�.

Add to this the recent news carried by Sanghu weekly which indicated that the Maoists have now a separate wing called the “Young Communist League�-YCL. The Maoists leadership wants this group to swell to the numerical strength of some one lakh whose sole job would be to act like the militias in absence of the real militias who are now confined in the cantonments. Sanghu weekly said that the men in the YCL are being provided necessary training. ( See Sanghu weekly date 12 February, 2007) -ed.

 Under such circumstances, the chances of the CA polls being held in June seems a distant dream. If the deadline of June expires, the next month that is July is the, let us recall, is the beginning of the monsoon. If not June then it could only be held some where around November/December. But then yet these months are not favorable for the people residing in the mountains because of snowfall and extreme cold weather conditions.

Should this mean that the CA polls would be differed by next June, 2008?

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