N. P. Upadhyaya
telegraphnepal.comKathmandu: Like it or not, Nepal’s politics for sure is to take a dramatic turn if things move as per the speculations and expressions coming as it does from high placed sources.
The Supreme Court fresh ruling limiting the Constituent Assembly term to the approaching May 27, 2012 deadline, has in many more ways than one made the “crane elevated” Nepal ‘dirt’ leaders perturbed. This was the first joggle from the nation’s apex court to the unsound leaders who emerged after “sponsored” revolutionary changes and ruled the country mercilessly forcing the people to ponder over as to whether they invited real devils replacing the lesser evil?
To boot, the politics has also to do something with the “internal suicidal” mêlée observed inside the former NOIDA sheltered Maoists.
The nationalist “hardliner” panel led by Mohan Baidya appears not to settle for less than exposing the Indian lobby being presumably represented by Chairman Dahal-Bhattarai combine this time around and thus the internal quarrel is escalating and reportedly has approached a point very close to a vertical and horizontal split both. Mohan Baidya and his team have acquired a posture-resolute. A fresh statement says issued, April 3, 2012, by Mohan Baidya-Badal duo warns Dahal not to exceed his party limits.
One thing is sure which is that more the Baidya panel is pushed to the wall by the so called Establishment team, the former will have no other option left than to inch towards the ‘nationalists’ and even force them to embrace the Royalists. The likelihood has increased for some obvious reasons.
Perhaps this is what appears to be in place already. After all logic demands that both the NOIDA victims should come together.
If King Gyanendra felt the brunt of the NOIDA 12 point agreement and was sidelined unceremoniously then the Mohan Baidya team too were made the victim of the same New Delhi colony.
To recall, while the 12 point agreement was being signed by the then agitating seven party leaders in Delhi, the Indian government, presumably under the personal request of Bhattarai and Chairman Dahal (could be late Koirala as well), arrested Mohan Baidya (from Siliguri) and C. P. Gajurel (from Chennai airport) fearing that this “nationalist” team may oppose the signing of the “ Ruin Nepal Agreement” that it has proved to be.
Logic demands that both the NOIDA victims join their necks together which is what has become an actuality as the strong rumours have it. Mind it! Rumours produce authentic news in Nepal.
The talked increasing proximity of the sidelined King with the hardliner faction of the Maoists party does tell that both the “contracting” parties have come together on the pretext of preserving the waning “Nepali nationalism”.
The fresh threat loaded utterances made by Chairman Dahal that his team may take penal actions against his party rivals, read the Mohan Baidya panel, will eventually push Baidya even more closer to Nepal former King Gyanendra. This will happen. This is happening. Take it for granted.
Nationalism card has already been opened.
The nervousness observed in the Dahal-Bhattarai camp is not for nothing. It is real. After all, this combine is not that duffer not to understand the new equation that has already taken a shady-shape.
Iron cuts iron.
At yet another plane, the visits being made by the former Nepal sovereign to different parts of the country is also a political one albeit under the cover of religion.
The manner the Nepali sovereign, now sidelined, was pleasingly greeted and treated by the local population both in the East and the West does tell that a sizeable chunk of the population still revere and adore the Royal institution which is why they may have appealed ‘HIM’ to stage a grand comeback to which he denied.
The appeal of the population to Gyanendra Shah must have been heard and analysed by those who have ruined the nation. Their analyses are understandable. Looking at the closing date of the CA body approaching fast and their inability to mend intra and inter party differences on certain contentious issues, including the Army integration process, must have added some more component of “dread” in their minds thinking that days ahead may not remain as comfy as it had been immediately after the “great revolutionary change” that heralded in this country out of “vengeance”.
The former Monarch though has made no comments as such which should further destabilise the mental order of the present day rulers except he said that “time may come soon when I will have to speak about the document that the seven party leaders signed for keeping the Royal institution intact at time of the agitation”.
Silence pays at times.
Does this mean that the former King is in the possession of a valid and legal, well signed by the then seven leaders, document which may prove that his dethroning from the crown was not the mandate of the so called revolution then?
High placed sources claim that it is this document that was signed between the then King and the seven party leaders, including the Maoists and the eye witness of which was none less than Dr. Karan Singh-Mrs Sonia Gandhi’s special envoy then sent to Nepal.
One more near-fatal shock has freshly been provided to the Nepali redundant leaders by Nepal’s Vice President Permananda Jha who on Monday, April 2, 2012, bluntly said that “Return of Nepali monarchy looms large and if that become a reality then the people must honour HIS comeback”.
VP Jha must not have spoken such a grave matter without having some “sound” knowledge.
A visibly frustrated VP Jha compared perhaps between the past and the present chaotic regime. More importantly, Jha, a tip to toe Mathil Brahmin made this sensational comment close on the heels of a “cow” being slaughtered some wherein Lalitpur district last week.
Should this mean that VP Jha prefers a Hindu State under a Hindu Monarch? Bond of Hindu religion perhaps.
VP Jha’s fresh utterances will surely go in favour of the monarch unconditionally. His followers would in all likelihood toe his line. It may have ultimately a multiple impact on the minds of the non-partisan population.
All put together, what could be fairly said that Nepali politics is soon to be eclipsed through the kind courtesy of Mrs. Sonia Gandhi who now prefers to cut down the size of the Nepali leaders more so of the Nepal Maoists.
Perhaps, the last meet of former Nepal sovereign and Mrs. Gandhi in New Delhi is soon to yield positive results in favour of the now forlorn former ruler of this nation.
India too perhaps needs the King in Nepal as only recently one high placed India’s Military authority admitted that “India is now not in a position to fight a war with any of its declared enemies”.
To keep China at a distance and in a good mood, Mrs. Gandhi needs a political balancer-close to a deterrent-in Nepal. It has now become a compulsion for India to have a reliable political ‘curb’ in Nepal.
The May 27, 2011, Nirmal Nivas dinner thrown in honor of RAW high officials, Alok Joshi and H. Kher too is showing its charismatic end-results.
But will everything go as smooth as explained? Perhaps not. Upheaval can be guessed in advance.
And the JNU’s damage Nepal campaign initiator is in town. Be careful.
Published in the Telegraph Weekly April 4, 2012.